摘要
证据是循证决策的资源和工具,数据则是证据的底层来源。海量数据向有效证据的跃迁过程中,常常出现各种内源性因素阻碍。厘清转化困境并提出纾解策略才能跨越转化的“最后一公里”,最大程度地实现循证决策的功能。借鉴地平线扫描的理念与步骤,从“偏态问题识别-动态问题诊断-稳态问题求解”的视角出发,搭建“困境多点扫描-变量多维刻画-路径多元响应”的整体性研究框架,对转化困境进行扫描和画像,进一步分析造成困境的变量因素。在此基础上,从优化体制机制设置、拓宽证据供给渠道、加强主体界面交互、完善技术工具赋能四个维度提出纾解转化困境的对策建议。
Evidence is the resource and tool for evidence-based decision-making, and data is the underlying source of evidence. In the transition from massive data to effective evidence, it often encounters various endogenous factors. Only by clarifying the transformation dilemma and proposing a relief strategy can we cross the "last mile" of transformation and realize the function of evidence-based decision-making to the greatest extent. This article uses the concept and steps of horizon scanning as reference, and builds a holistic research framework of scanning multi-point dilemma, describing multidimensional variables and multi-path responsing, from the perspective of skewed problem identification, dynamic problem diagnosis, and steady problem solving. It further analyzes the variable factors that cause the dilemma by scanning and portraying of the transformation dilemma.On this basis, from the four dimensions of optimizing the system and mechanism settings, broadening the evidence-supplied channels, strengthening the interaction of the main interface, and improving the empowerment of technical tools, it proposes countermeasures to alleviate the transformation dilemma.
作者
温志强
胡峰
Wen Zhiqiang;Hu Feng(College of Politics and Public Administration,Tianjin Normal University,Tianjin,300387;Jiangsu Institute of Science and Technology Information,Nanjing,210042;Jiangsu Academy of Science and Technology for Development,Nanjing,210042)
出处
《信息资源管理学报》
CSSCI
2022年第4期82-94,共13页
Journal of Information Resources Management
基金
天津市哲学社会科学规划项目“重大决策网络舆情风险评估体系构建研究”(TJZZ19-31)研究成果之一。
关键词
循证决策
数据
证据
转化
地平线扫描
Evidence-based decision-making
Data
Evidence
Transformation
Horizon scanning