低保标准预测及保障力度分析

Analysis of Subsistence Allowance Standard Forecast and Protection Intensity

利用北京市20122016年统计年鉴查找了计算低保标准的主要指标,建立线性模型并检验,运用Excel软件建立了相应图表,形象地观察出各地之间低保标准的相关性,建立了多元线性模型,通过MATLAB软件分析了该模型的合理性。研究发现,通过人均可支配收入、人均消费支出、低保对象人数等影响因素分析建立的多元线性模型,对低保标准的设立具有参考价值。

Through utilizing Beijing Statistical Yearbook from 2012 to 2016,the study calculates the main index of subsistence allowance standard,establishes linear model and tests,establishes relevant chart through Excel software,visualizes the relevance of subsistence allowance among regions,constructs multiple linear model,and analyzes the rationality of the model through MATLAB software.The research found that the multiple linear model based on the analysis of the influencing factors of per capita disposable income,per capita consumption and the number of subsistence allowance recipients have reference value for the setting of subsistence allowance standard.