金厂坪水库除险加固工程综合效益后评价

Comprehensive benefit post-evaluation of Jinchangping Reservoir risk removal and reinforcement project

近年来,病险水库的除险加固成为社会各方关注的焦点,亟待定性、定量评价其综合效益,判定工程效益,构建一套科学合理的除险加固工程综合效益后评价体系具有重要意义。本文基于博弈论-云模型理论构建了一套病险水库除险加固工程综合效益后评价模型,并在芷江县金厂坪水库除险加固工程中进行了验证。结果表明,该模型具有良好的可行性,金厂坪水库除险加固项目取得了较好的综合效益。

Risk removal and reinforcement of dangerous reservoirs have become the focus of attention from all parties in the society in recent years.It is of great significance to evaluate its comprehensive benefits qualitatively and quantitatively,judge the effect of the project,and build a set of scientific and reasonable comprehensive benefit post-evaluation system of risk removal and reinforcement project.A set of comprehensive benefit post-evaluation model of risk removal and reinforcement projects for dangerous reservoirs is established based on the game theory-cloud model theory.It is proved in Jinchangping reservoir risk removal and reinforcement project of Zhijiang County.The results show that the model has excellent feasibility,and Jinchangping Reservoir Reinforcement Project has achieved excellent comprehensive benefits.