乡村振兴视角下经济社会与生态环境协调发展的动态评价及空间格局——基于云南省脱贫户数据的分析

Dynamic Evaluation and Spatial Pattern of the Coordinated Development of Economic Society and Ecological Environment from the Perspective of Rural Revitalization:An Analysis Based on the Data of Poverty-Relief Households in Yunnan Province

从经济社会和生态环境2个子系统出发,构建12个准则34个指标的经济社会与生态环境协调发展指标体系,应用变异系数TOPSIS法、耦合协调度模型和Moran’s I指数,实证分析云南及16个州市脱贫户经济社会与生态环境发展水平、耦合协调度和空间格局。结果表明:(1)2个子系统基本同等重要;(2)2个子系统总体发展水平不高,但随时间推移呈上升趋势,且生态环境增速高于经济社会,大多数州市属于生态环境滞后型;(3)耦合度处于拮抗阶段,耦合协调度多为中度协调;(4)空间集聚性增强,区域差异有缩小趋势。因此,应通过提升医疗养老保障力度,提高人口质量,优化资源配置,关注富裕州市脱贫户生计,经济发展的同时注重生态修复和保护等,不断推进云南经济社会与生态环境水平的提升。

Based on the two subsystems of economic society and ecological environment,constructing a coordinated development index system of economic society and ecological environment with 12 criteria and 34 indicators,applying the coefficient of variation TOPSIS method,coupling coordination degree model and Moran’s I index,this paper empirically analyses economic society and ecological environment development level,coupling coordination degree and spatial pattern of poverty-relief households in Yunnan province and its 16 prefectures.The results show that:(1)The two subsystems are basically equally important.(2)The development level of the subsystems is generally not high,but it shows an upward trend over time.And the growth rate of the ecological environment is higher than that of the economic society.Most prefectures belong to lagging ecological environment development type.(3)The coupling degree is in an antagonistic stage,and the coupling coordination degree is mostly in a moderately coordinated state.(4)The spatial agglomeration is increasing,and the regional differences tend to shrink.Therefore,it is necessary to enhance medical pension insurance,improve population quality,optimize resource allocation,pay attention to the livelihoods of poverty-relief households in wealthy prefectures,and development economy while focusing on ecological restoration and protection,in order to continuously promote the economic society and ecological environment level in Yunnan Province,China.