摘要
Peace and stability in the Gulf region are of critical importance to all states which have significant economic relations with the Gulf countries.They are particularly important when these relations can be described as involving a large measure of mutual dependence.China’s economic relations with the Gulf countries have that character,given the Gulf’s critical need to export oil,and China’s long-term requirement for oil imports from the region.Whereas Western countries have sought to protect their interests in the Gulf by military engagement,China has wisely avoided that course of action.That might seem to leave China with less leverage to protect its interests there,but this need not be so.China has an alternative means at its disposal.Mutual dependence conveys a kind of soft power.The“Belt and Road”Initiative offers opportunities for all Gulf countries to deepen and widen their international economic engagement.Effective engagement in this,however,depends on the resolution of existing conflicts between Gulf countries.The existing economic relationship,complemented by what can be offered for the future,provide China with an effective channel to encourage reconciliation,creating the underpinning for peace and stability in the region.
