住房类型、长期居留意愿与农民工家庭消费

Housing Type,Long-Term Residence and Household Consumption of Migrant Workers

基于2017年全国流动人口动态监测调查数据(CMDS),考察了住房类型对农民工家庭消费的影响以及长期居留意愿的作用机制。研究结果表明:(1)农民工拥有稳定性住房可以显著提升其家庭消费,在运用倾向得分匹配法与工具变量法解决可能存在的内生性问题后,结果依然显著;(2)长期居留意愿在农民工稳定性住房影响家庭消费的过程中发挥着中介作用;(3)进一步研究发现,相较于其他群体,拥有保障性住房、子女随迁、从事数字化水平较高行业的农民工的消费水平较高。因此,政府应通过降低农民工进城购房成本、扩大保障性住房覆盖范围、推动家庭式迁移以及提升其互联网技能应用能力等途径,提升农民工长期居留意愿,释放其消费潜能。

Based on the 2017 China Migrants Dynamic Survey(CMDS),this paper examines the impact of different housing types on the household consumption of migrant workers and the mechanism of their willingness of long-term residence.The results show that:(1)Stable housing of migrant workers has a significant positive effect on their family consumption.After using the propensity score matching method,the treatment effect model and instrumental variable test to solve the possible endogenous problems,the results are still significant.(2)The willingness of long-term residence of migrant workers plays an intermediary role in the process of stable housing’s influence on household consumption.(3)Further research has found that migrant workers who live in public housing,move with their children and engage in industries with higher level of digitalization have higher consumption level.Therefore,the government should increase the coverage of public housing,reduce the cost of migrant workers to buy houses in cities,promote family migration,and improve their ability to imply digital skills to realize the release of consumption potential and build the new development pattern.