期刊文献+

An application of the A-4DEnVar to coupled parameter optimization

下载PDF
导出
摘要 In variational methods,coupled parameter optimization(CPO) often needs a long minimization time window(MTW) to fully incorporate observational information,but the optimal MTW somehow depends on the model nonlinearity.The analytical four-dimensional ensemble-variational(A-4DEnVar) considers model nonlinearity well and avoids adjoint model.It can theoretically be applied to CPO.To verify the feasibility and the ability of the A-4DEnVar in CPO,“twin” experiments based on A-4DEnVar CPO are conducted for the first time with the comparison of four-dimensional variational(4D-Var).Two algorithms use the same background error covariance matrix and optimization algorithm to control variates.The experiments are based on a simple coupled oceanatmosphere model,in which the atmospheric part is the highly nonlinear Lorenz-63 model,and the oceanic part is a slab ocean model.The results show that both A-4DEnVar and 4D-Var can effectively reduce the error of state variables through CPO.Besides,two methods produce almost the same results in most cases when the MTW is less than 560 time steps.The results are similar when the MTW is larger than 560 time steps and less than 880 time steps.The largest MTW of 4 D-Var and A-4DEnVar are 1 200 time steps.Moreover,A-4DEnVar is not sensitive to ensemble size when the MTW is less than 720 time steps.A-4DEnVar obtains satisfactory results in the case of highly nonlinear model and long MTW,suggesting that it has the potential to be widely applied to realistic CPO.
出处 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2022年第9期60-70,共11页 海洋学报(英文版)
基金 The National Key Research and Development Program under contract No.2021YFC3101501 the National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract No.41876014。
  • 相关文献

参考文献2

二级参考文献29

  • 1闵锦忠,孙照渤,高庆九,邓自旺.全球海气耦合模式系统(NIM/COAMS) Ⅱ.年际变化的模拟[J].南京气象学院学报,2005,28(6):721-729. 被引量:4
  • 2Chen, D., M. A. Cane, A. Kaplan, S. E. Zebiak, and D. J. Huang, 2004: Predictability of El Nino over the past 148 years. Nature, 428, 733-736.
  • 3Duan, W. S., 2003: Applications of nonlinear optimization method to the studies of ENSO predictability. Ph. D. dissertation, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 111pp. (in Chinese).
  • 4Duan, W. S., M. Mu, and B. Wang, 2004: Conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation as the optimal precursors for ENSO events. J. Geophys. Res., 109, D23105.
  • 5Duan, W. S., X. Liu, K. Y. Zhu, and M. Mu, 2009: Exploring initial errors that cause a significant spring predictability barrier for El Nino events. J. Geophys. Res., 114, C04022, doi: 10.1029/2008JC004925.
  • 6Flugel, M., and P. Chang, 1998: Does the predictability of ENSO depend on the seasonal cycle? J. Atmos. Sci., 55, 3230-3243.
  • 7Garay, J. Z., 2004: Influence of stochastic forcing on ENSO prediction. J. Geophys. Res., 109, C1107.
  • 8Jin, E. K., and Coauthors, 2008: Current status of ENSO prediction skill in coupled ocean-atmosphere models. Climate Dyn., 31,647-664.
  • 9Latif, M., and Coauthors, 1998: A review of the predictability and prediction of ENSO. J. Geophys. Res., 103, 14357-14393.
  • 10Liu, Z. Y., 2002: A simple model study of ENSO suppression by external periodic forcing. J. Atmos. Sci., 15, 1088-1098.

共引文献25

相关作者

内容加载中请稍等...

相关机构

内容加载中请稍等...

相关主题

内容加载中请稍等...

浏览历史

内容加载中请稍等...
;
使用帮助 返回顶部