资本禀赋积累、公共服务供给与农业转移人口市民化意愿——基于结构方程的实证检验

Accumulation of Capital Endowment, Public Service Supply and Citizenization Intention of the Rural Transfer Population——Empirical Test Based on Structural Equation

现阶段我国农业转移人口市民化意愿走弱,制约转移人口市民化进程。采用结构方程模型和借助微观调查数据,就资本禀赋积累和公共服务供给满意度对转移人口市民化意愿进行了实证检验。实证结果表明:资本禀赋和公共服务供给满意度对转移人口市民化意愿有显著正向影响;人力资本影响系数大于社会资本,教育水平对市民化意愿影响比收入水平影响大;社交媒体使用通过信息效应、支持效应、学习效应、控制效应和营商效应对转移人口市民化意愿有显著影响;社会资本的异质性通过信息效应、支持效应和学习效应对市民化意愿形成显著正向影响;公共服务的公平供给和有效供给可以提升转移人口的获得感和幸福感,从而提升转移人口的市民化意愿;农业转移人口职业转换意愿强于户籍转换意愿,充分而稳定的就业机会比城市户籍对转移人口的吸引力更大。

At present, the intention of citizenization of the rural transfer population in China is weakening, and the process of citizenization of the rural transfer population is delayed. This paper uses structural equation model and micro-survey data to empirically test the citizenization intention of the transfer population in terms of capital endowment accumulation and satisfaction of public service supply. The empirical results show that capital endowment and satisfaction degree of public service supply have significant positive influence on citizenization intention of transfer population;the influence coefficient of human capital is greater than that of social capital.Education level has a greater impact on citizenization intention than income level.Social media has significant influence on citizenization intention of transfer population through information effect, support effect, learning effect, control effect and business effect.Heterogeneity of social capital has a significant positive influence on citizenization intention through information effect, support effect and learning effect.Fair and effective supply of public services can improve the sense of gain and happiness of the transfer population, and thus enhance the transfer population′s citizenization intention;the intention of occupation change of the rural transfer population is stronger than that of the household registration, and sufficient and stable employment opportunities are more attractive to the transfer population than the urban household registration.