孟中印缅经济走廊的经济空间依赖和时空推进机制研究

Research on the Economic Spatial Dependence and Spatial-Temporal Promotion Mechanism of the Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar Economic Corridor

运用2011—2017年孟中印缅经济走廊地区四国62个城市单元的经济数据,首先计算孟中印缅经济走廊地区经济要素的空间自相关系数,验证经济地理空间效应的存在性,揭示该地区的空间集聚分布规律;然后引入一体化增长方程,构造动态空间杜宾模型研究其经济时空动力机制,探究推动区域经济地理变迁的主要动力,验证区域内人口密度与经济密度的相关性,进一步探索提高走廊区域经济集聚程度、有效推进孟中印缅经济走廊一体化整合的途径,为有效重塑孟中印缅经济走廊区域经济地理提出针对性建议。

Using the economic data of 62 units in the four countries of the Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar Economic Corridor from 2011 to 2017,this paper first calculates the spatial autocorrelation coefficient of the economic factors of the economic corridor,verifies the existence of economic geospatial effects,and reveals the law of spatial agglomeration and distribution of the region.Then an integrated growth equation is introduced and a dynamic spatial Dubin model is constructed to study its economic spatial-temporal dynamic mechanism,explore the main driving forces that promote regional economic and geographic changes,and verify the correlation between population density and economic density in the region.The paper further explores the ways to increase the degree of regional economic agglomeration and effectively promote the integration of the economic corridor,which provide targeted suggestions on reshaping the regional economic geography of the economic corridor.