“一带一路”沿线省区文化和旅游产业协调关系及其空间相关性

Study on the Spatial Correlation of Coupling and Coordination Degree of Cultural Tourism Industry Integration and Development along “the Belt and Road”

以“一带一路”沿线18个省份为研究区域,选取2013年、2016年、2019年三个时间节点,运用耦合协调度模型与空间探索性分析方法,对研究区域文旅产业融合发展的协调关系及空间相关性开展定量测评。研究发现:“一带一路”沿线18个省份绝大部分区域耦合协调度不高且呈下降趋势,空间不均衡显著,空间上均质性与局部自相关性较强,已经形成“东强西弱”的集聚特征和空间格局;全局自相关性呈逐年减弱的迹象,区域间彼此相互影响、相互辐射能力较弱。由此提出完善配套设施,夯实发展基础、强化核心带动,推进区域联动发展、支持西部文旅建设,缩短东西发展差距等文旅产业融合协同发展建议。

Based on the analysis of the integration mechanism of cultural and tourism industry,this paper selects 18 provinces along“the Belt and Road”as the research area,selects three time nodes in 2013,2016and 2019,and uses the coupling coordination degree model and spatial exploratory analysis method to quantitatively evaluate the coordination relationship and spatial correlation of the integration development of cultural and tourism industry in the research area.The results show that most of the 18 provinces along“the Belt and Road”have low coupling coordination degree and a downward trend,with significant spatial imbalance,strong spatial homogeneity and local autocorrelation,and have formed the agglomeration characteristics and spatial pattern of“strong east and weak west”.However,the global autocorrelation shows signs of weakening year by year,and the interregional influence and mutual radiation capacity are weak.Finally,suggestions on the integration and coordinated development of the cultural and tourism industry are put forward.