山东省区域农业竞争力及时空演变研究

Regional Agricultural Competitiveness and Spatial-Temporal Evolution in Shandong Province

研究了2013-2019年山东省内16个地级市的农业竞争力,为山东省整体农业竞争力的进一步提升提出建议。建立了山东省区域农业竞争力指标体系,运用因子分析法综合分析和评价各地级市农业竞争力;采用空间插值图,分析山东省农业竞争力的时空演变状况。结果表明,2013-2019年山东省区域农业竞争力整体呈上升趋势;省内各个区域的农业竞争力水平发展极度不平衡;各个区域农业竞争力的核心要素相似性很高;区域农业竞争力空间演变由分散逐渐向集聚格局变化,而且各区域之间有明显的梯度差异,逐渐形成了以区域为代表的优势农业产业带;区域农业竞争力数值与各个城市的空间拓展能力呈高度正相关,农业竞争力数值变化与路径变化保持一致;区域空间拓展能力由东向西逐渐降低。建议制定科学合理的农业政策体系,提升农业现代化水平;优化产业结构,注重农业可持续发展;因地制宜、立足本土优势发展特色农业。

Through analyzing data of Shandong Province from 2013 to 2019,agriculture competitiveness of 16 prefecture-level cities in Shandong Province was studied,and suggestions were put forward for further improving overall agricultural competitiveness of Shandong Province.Index system of regional agriculture competitiveness in Shandong Province was established,and agriculture competitiveness of prefecture-level cities in Shandong Province was comprehensively analyzed and evaluated by factor analysis method.Spatial and temporal evolution of agriculture competitiveness in Shandong Province was analyzed by spatial interpolation.From 2013 to 2019,overall regional agriculture competitiveness of Shandong Province showed an upward trend.Agriculture competitiveness in various regions of Shandong Province was seriously unbalanced.Core elements of agriculture competitiveness of different cities in Shandong Province were very similar.Spatial evolution of regional agriculture competitiveness in Shandong Province changed from dispersion to agglomeration,and there was a clear gradient difference among different cities,which gradually formed dominant agriculture industrial belt represented by cities.Value of regional agriculture competitiveness in Shandong Province showed a high positive correlation with spatial expansion capacity of each city,and change in agricultural competitiveness was consistent with path change.Regional spatial expansion capacity decreased gradually from east to west in Shandong Province.Local authority should formulate a scientific and reasonable agricultural policy system to improve level of agriculture modernization.Local authority should optimize industrial structure to focus on sustainable agriculture development.Local authority should develop characteristic agriculture based on local advantages.