基于能流图和碳流图的我国能源结构转型分析及展望

Analysis and Prospect of China’s Energy Structure Transformation Based on Energy Flow Chart and Carbon Flow Chart

“双碳”目标是我国积极响应全球气候变化、践行能源安全新战略的重要举措,在“双碳”目标下,我国将会加速推动能源产业结构转型和结构调整,加快构建以新能源为主体的新型电力系统。首先,绘制了2018年我国能流图,详细分析了我国一次能源生产、加工转换和终端消费能源具体概况。然后,绘制了2018年我国碳流图,阐述了我国碳排放的主要来源及终端各部门碳排放量大小。最后,从能源供给、终端用能和能源加工转化3个方面对我国能源转型进行了展望。

Dual carbon target is an important measure for our country to respond to global climate change and practice the new strategy of energy security. Under the dual carbon target, our country will accelerate the transformation and adjustment of energy industry structure, and accelerate the construction of a new power system with new energy as the main part. Firstly, the energy flow chart of 2018 is drawn, and the specific profiles of primary energy production, processing and conversion and terminal consumption energy are analyzed in detail. On this basis, the carbon flow chart in 2018 is drawn, and the main sources of carbon emissions and the size of carbon emissions in each sector of the terminal are expounded. Finally, the transformation of energy in China is prospected from three aspects of energy supply, terminal energy use and energy processing transformation.