东盟一体化的动力机制研究——基于詹姆斯·费尔格里夫的理论视角

A Study on the Dynamic Mechanism of ASEAN Integration——A Geopolitical Perspective Based on James Fairgriff’s Energy and Stimulus

东盟作为世界上仅次于欧盟的第二大地区组织,具有许多缺陷,如地理、环境和与大国关系等。在诸多问题的影响下,东盟依然保持着良好的发展优势,其背后持续推动一体化的动力机制值得探讨和借鉴。本文在对詹姆斯·费尔格里夫的传统理论进行改进的基础上得出结论,认为这些动力机制包括以下方面:一是附属经历的敏感与历史动量的激励,二是边缘地带的现实与中小国家自强的需要,三是与大国交往中地缘政治的弱势地位及反向刺激。当然,东盟的未来依然面临内在矛盾和外在压力等问题,这些问题也将持续。这是东盟在发展过程中应当重视的领域。

As the second most successful regional organization in the world next to the European Union, ASEAN has many inherent flaws, such as geography, environment and relations with great powers. In spite of the flaws, ASEAN still commands a development advantage, and the dynamic mechanism behind the ongoing integration is worth studying. On the basis of the improvement of James Fairgriff’s traditional theory, this paper draws the following conclusions: first, the sensitivity of dependent-country experience and the incentive of historical momentum;second, the reality of the periphery and the need for selfimprovement of small and medium-sized countries;and third, the geopolitical vulnerability and reverse stimulus in the interaction with big powers. The future of ASEAN still faces issues such as internal differences and external pressures, and it will continue to deserve our attention.