贸易便利化对中国向菲律宾跨境电商出口的影响研究

Research on the Impact of Trade Facilitation on China’s Cross-border E-commerce Exports to the Philippines

跨境电商在中国与菲律宾的进出口贸易中扮演着极其重要的角色,本文首先通过分析选取基础设施、海关环境、制度环境和信息通信技术四个指标作为贸易便利化水平的评价指标,测算中国和菲律宾的贸易便利化水平。其次以贸易便利化水平为解释变量,引入两国GDP、菲律宾人口、汇率等变量,构建SVAR模型进行基准回归和产品分组回归,结果表明贸易便利化水平与中国向菲律宾跨境电商出口呈正相关。最后结合分析结论提出政策建议,为促进两国跨境电子商务贸易的可持续发展提供参考。

Cross-border e-commerce plays an extremely important role in the import and export trade between China and the Philippines.This paper fi rstly measures the level of trade facilitation between China and the Philippines by analyzing four indicators selected as the evaluation indicators of the level of trade facilitation,including infrastructure,customs environment,institutional environment and information and communication technologies.Secondly,with the level of trade facilitation as the explanatory variable and introducing variables such as GDP,Philippine population and exchange rates of the two countries,the SVAR model is constructed for benchmark regression and product grouping regression.The results show that the level of trade facilitation is positively related to China’s cross-border e-commerce exports to the Philippines.Finally,the analysis findings are combined with policy recommendations to promote the sustainable development of cross-border e-commerce trade between the two countries.