摘要
在新时代脱贫攻坚任务实现的背景下,提升新型城镇化与乡村振兴协调发展水平,有利于西北地区巩固拓展脱贫攻坚成果、持续增强内生发展动力并加快融入西部大开发新格局。鉴于此,运用改进的耦合协调度模型对2013—2018年甘肃省新型城镇化与乡村振兴的协调发展程度进行量化,并结合面板Tobit模型对二者耦合协调度的影响因素进行研究。结果表明:(1)新型城镇化与乡村振兴的空间分布基本一致,大体上呈现河西地区>陇中地区>陇东南地区>南部民族地区的空间发展格局。(2)全省、河西地区、陇中地区及南部民族地区新型城镇化与乡村振兴的协调发展效应逐步增强,耦合协调发展呈现西北强东南弱的空间分异特征,河西和陇中地区耦合协调水平明显高于陇东南及南部民族地区。(3)新型城镇化与乡村振兴同步发展类型的市州较少,乡村振兴滞后型的市州明显增加,并且集中分布于陇中地区及陇东南地区。(4)政府能力、工业化及交通基础设施水平对二者耦合协调水平具有正向促进作用,而固定资产投资和城乡收入差距则不利于新型城镇化与乡村振兴的协调发展。影响二者耦合协调度的因素具有明显的区域异质性。
In the context of the realization of the task of poverty alleviation in the new era,improving the coordinated development level of new urbanization and rural revitalization is conducive to consolidating and expanding the achievements of poverty alleviation in Northwest China,continuously enhancing the endogenous development power,and accelerating its integration into the new pattern of western development. In view of this,the improved coupling coordination degree model is used to quantify the coordinated development degree of new urbanization and rural revitalization in Gansu Province,and the influencing factors of their coupling coordination degree are studied combined with panel Tobit model. The results show that:(1)The spatial distribution of new urbanization and rural revitalization is basically the same,which generally presents the spatial development pattern of Hexi region > central Gansu region > southeast Gansu region > southern ethnic minority region.(2)During 2013-2018,the coordinated development effect of new urbanization and rural revitalization in the whole province,Hexi region,central Gansu region and southern ethnic areas has gradually increased. The coupling and coordinated development shows the spatial differentiation characteristics of strong northwest and weak southeast.The coupling and coordination level of Hexi and central Gansu region is significantly higher than that of southeast and southern ethnic areas.(3)There are fewer cities and prefectures with the synchronous development of new urbanization and rural revitalization,and the cities and prefectures with lagging rural revitalization have increased significantly,which are concentrated in central Gansu and southeast Gansu region.(4)Government capacity,industrialization and transportation infrastructure level play a positive role in promoting the coupling and coordination level of the two,while fixed asset investment and urban-rural income gap are not conducive to the coordinated development of new urbanization and rural revitalization. The factors affecting the coupling coordination degree of the two have obvious regional heterogeneity.
作者
徐雪
王永瑜
Xu Xue;Wang Yongyu(School of Statistics,Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics,Lanzhou 730030,China;Gansu Financial Cooperation Innovation Center,Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics,Lanzhou 730030,China)
出处
《中国沙漠》
CSCD
北大核心
2022年第5期1-13,共13页
Journal of Desert Research
基金
甘肃省哲学社会科学规划项目(19YB019)
甘肃省高等学校创新能力提升项目(2020A-070)
兰州财经大学科研创新团队“环境经济统计与分析创新团队”项目。
关键词
新型城镇化
乡村振兴
耦合协调
影响因素
new urbanization
rural revitalization
coupling coordination
influencing factor