南京都市圈各区县乡村旅游发展潜力评价及其空间分异特征

Evaluation of the Development Potential of Rural Tourism in Districts and Counties in Nanjing Metropolitan Area

随着城镇化的推进与人民生活水平的提高,乡村旅游市场前景巨大。以南京都市圈60个区县为研究对象,综合运用熵值法、空间自相关等方法测度南京都市圈各县区乡村旅游发展潜力,并分析整体和局部的空间分异特征,以期为南京都市圈乡村旅游发展提供依据。研究发现:南京都市圈的内生发展水平对发展潜力评分在一定程度上起决定性作用,其他子指标起协调作用;该地县域乡村旅游发展潜力存在空间集聚现象,具有显著的空间自相关性;南京都市圈乡村旅游发展潜力整体以南京市及周边为中心呈现“由中心向外扩散”的特征,高潜力发展水平区域对周边低潜力发展水平的辐射连带效应不显著,区域合作发展有待加强。

With the advancement of urbanization and the improvement of people’s living standards,rural tourism market has a huge prospect.Taking 60 districts and counties in Nanjing metropolitan area as the research object,this paper uses entropy method,spatial autocorrelation and other methods to measure the development potential of rural tourism in each county and district in Nanjing metropolitan area,and analyzes the overall and local spatial differentiation characteristics,in order to provide a reference for the development of rural tourism in Nanjing metropolitan area.The study found that:first,the endogenous development level of Nanjing metropolitan area plays a decisive role in the evaluation of the development potential to a certain extent,and other sub-indicators play a coordinating role.Secondly,the development potential of rural tourism in this area shows a spatial agglomeration phenomenon,and has a significant spatial autocorrelation.Thirdly,the development potential of rural tourism in Nanjing metropolitan area shows the characteristic of“spreading from the center to the periphery”,with Nanjing and its surrounding areas as the center.However,the radiation effects from regions with high development potential to surrounding areas with low development potential are not significant.Hence regional cooperation needs to be strengthened further.