基于系统动力学的国民层面信息迷雾研究

Research on Disinformation at the Public Level in China Based on System Dynamics Model

信息迷雾已成为影响我国民众交流沟通、信息获取、决策实践的一个重要问题。探究我国民众层面信息迷雾的确切定义,解析其构成要素,找寻其解决方案,是国家总体安全观的要求,是提高民众信息生活水平的保障。梳理了我国目前信息迷雾研究的总体进展和缺陷,基于民众所面临信息迷雾的各要素影响关系,运用系统动力学原理,通过建模和仿真对民众层面信息迷雾的重点要素进行了灵敏度分析,并基于各要素影响程度和目前治理进展,提出了依法治理信息迷雾、增强科技效能、提升政府公信力的详细方案,为我国民众层面信息迷雾治理提供现实帮助。

Disinformation has become an important issue affecting people’s communication,information acquisition and decision-making in China. Exploring the exact definition of disinformation at the public level,analyzing its constituent elements and finding its solutions are the requirements of the national overall security concept and the guarantee to improve people’s information living standards. This paper combs the overall progress and defects of the current disinformation research in China,and based on the influence relationship of various elements of the disinformation faced by the public,carries out the sensitivity analysis on the key elements of the disinformation at public level through modeling and simulation by using the principle of system dynamics,and based on the influence degree of various factors and the current governance progress,puts forward detailed plans to manage the disinformation according to law,enhance scientific and technological efficiency and stranthen the government’s credibility,so as to provide practical help for the governance of disinformation at the public level in China.