新发展格局下中国区域经济韧性动态双向评价指标体系构建与应用

Construction and Application of China's Regional Economic Resilience Dynamic Two-way Evaluation Index System under the New Development Pattern

对区域经济韧性的量化研究能够更为精确地了解区域经济韧性的构成与薄弱环节,在新发展格局下,可以为政策制定提供有效的参考。首先,在梳理区域经济韧性发展脉络与分析新发展格局下经济韧性基本要求的基础上,利用DPSIR框架对区域经济韧性五大构念进行分析;其次,利用DPSIR框架自身的动态关联性与双向评价指标体系法,构建新发展格局下区域经济韧性动态双向测评体系,并运用熵权法得到相应权重;最后,进行相应的实证分析。研究结果表明,文章所构建的指标体系能够有效反映中国区域经济韧性的内涵;在内外冲击影响下,综合指数变动率波动较大;应加大对西部地区的投入,以提升整体经济韧性水平。

Quantitative research on regional economic resilience can more accurately understand the composition and weak links of regional economic resilience.Under the new development pattern,it can provide effective reference for policy formulation.First,on the basis of combing the development context of regional economic resilience and analyzing the basic requirements of economic resilience under the new development pattern,the DPSIR framework is used to analyze the five concepts of regional economic resilience;Secondly,the dynamic correlation of DPSIR framework itself and the two-way evaluation index system method are available to build a dynamic two-way evaluation system of regional economic resilience under the new development pattern,and the entropy weight method is used to obtain the corresponding weights;Finally,the corresponding empirical analysis is carried out.The results show that the index system constructed in this paper can effectively reflect the connotation of China's regional economic resilience;under the influence of internal and external shocks,the change rate of the composite index fluctuates greatly;we should increase investment in the western region to improve its economic resilience.