英国新冠变种病毒的传播及影响因素探究

Study on the Spread and Influencing Factors of COVID-19 Virus in Britain

为了预测不同新冠变种病毒传播的持续时长,以英国疫情爆发以来每日新增病例数据为例,对病毒的传播规律以及影响传播的因素进行探究,总结出不同变种病毒的传播规律:自身的传染力和持续时长,以及地理因素、人口规模、气候环境对不同变种病毒的传染力和持续时长的影响。

In order to predict the duration of the spread of different COVID-19 variants,we took the data of daily new cases since the outbreak of the epidemic in Britain as an example.We explored the law of virus transmission and the influencing factors,and summarized the law of virus transmission of different variants:their own infectivity and duration,as well as the influence of geographical factors,population size and climate environment on the infectivity and duration of different variants.