长江经济带文化产业与旅游产业耦合协调态势及其影响因素

The Coupling and Coordination Situation and Influencing Factors of Culture and Tourism Industry in the Yangtze River Economic Belt

依据2008—2019年长江经济带沿江11省市相关数据,在测度文化产业与旅游产业综合发展水平的基础上,利用耦合协调模型和空间计量模型分别探讨两产业耦合协调度的时空演化特征及其影响因素。结果表明:长江经济带旅游产业的发展水平高于文化产业,但两产业综合发展水平都不高。长江经济带两产业耦合协调度呈小幅波动上升趋势,省际差异逐步缩小,但发展速度缓慢;两产业整体协调度等级不高,在空间格局上呈现“下游—中游—上游”梯度递减分布态势。长江经济带两产业耦合协调发展是经济发展水平、消费需求、政策环境、基础设施、科技创新和人力资源等因素共同作用的结果,政策环境具有较强贡献率,但科技创新因素的驱动作用尚未发挥。特别是经济发展水平、政策环境、人力资源因素对本地区文旅耦合发展存在着显著促进作用,人力资源、科技创新因素也对邻近地区具有显著的正向溢出效应。

Based on the relevant data of 11 provinces and cities from 2008 to 2019 in the Yangtze River Economic Belt,this paper measures the comprehensive development of cultural industry and tourism industry,and uses the coupling coordination model to analyze the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of the coupling coordination degree of the two industries.The results show that:the comprehensive development level of the culture industry and tourism industry from 2008 to 2019 in the Yangtze River Economic Belt is not high,and the developmentof the tourism industry is significantly faster than that of the culture industry;the coupling and coordination degree of the two industries in the Yangtze River Economic Belt fluctuates slightly and increases,and the inter-provincial difference gradually narrows,but the development speed is slow;the overall coordination level of the two industries is not high,and the coordination level presents a gradient decreasing spatial distribution pattern from downstream to midstream to upstream region.the coupling and coordinated development of the culture industry and tourism industry is the result of the joint action of economic development level,consumption demand,policy environment,infrastructure,scientific and technological innovation,human resources and other factors.The policy environment has a strong contribution rate,but the driving role of scientific and technological innovation has not yet played.In particular,economic development,policy environment and human resources have significantly promoted the coupled development of culture and tourism in this region.Human resources and scientific and technological innovation also have significant positive spillover effects on adjacent areas.