压力型体制、官员流动与科技特派员制度扩散——面向208个地级市的事件史分析

Pressure System,Political Mobility and the TTFS Diffusion——An Event History Analysis of 208 Prefecture-Level Cities in China

科技特派员制度是落实乡村振兴战略、破解“三农”问题的重要支撑。然而,这一制度自1999年福建南平首创至2016年上升为国家制度,其背后的扩散机制却缺少充分探索。本文从政策扩散理论出发,运用经典事件史分析模型,检验压力型体制、官员流动对科技特派员制度在208个地级市层面扩散的影响。结果显示,省级强制压力、省内竞争压力以及公共舆论压力都在不同程度对科技特派员制度扩散产生显著正向影响,而地方主官多重流动未对制度扩散产生显著影响。

The Technical Task Force System(TTFS)is an important underpinning for implementing the strategy of rural revitalization and three rural issues.The diffusion mechanisms of the institution from 1999 to 2016,however,have not been explored adequately.We tested the effects of pressure system and political mobility on the TTFS in 208 prefecture-level cities of China,by applying the traditional event history analysis.Our research provided the evidence that,provincial regulations,inside-provincial competition,and public opinion pressure,had significant positive effect on the adoption in prefecture-level cities.And,political mobility of party secretaries and mayors in prefecture-level cities,had no significant effect.