中国技术创新发展的质量与速度匹配性及协调机制研究

Research on the Quality and Speed Matching and Coordination Mechanism of China s Technological Innovation Development

在高质量发展背景下,创新作为第一驱动力,存在着创新质量与创新速度的矛盾,研究其对创新产出的作用机制和它们之间的协调机制有意义。本文基于知识生产函数与高技术产业创新数据,采用面板数据模型、面板平滑转换模型、贝叶斯向量自回归模型分析创新质量、创新速度对创新产出的影响效应以及创新质量、创新速度之间的关系。结果表明:创新质量对创新产出积极贡献显著且呈N形曲线;创新速度对创新产出积极贡献显著且呈U形曲线;创新质量与创新速度协调水平较低;创新质量与创新速度的绩效相互影响,创新质量的弹性系数随创新速度提高而增加,创新速度的弹性系数随创新质量提高而降低并且最终为负数。

In the context of high-quality development,innovation is the first driving force,and there is a contradiction between innovation quality and innovation speed.It is of great significance to study the mechanism of innovation output and the coordination mechanism between them.Based on the knowledge production function and high-tech industry innovation data,this paper uses panel data models,panel smooth conversion models,and Bayesian vector autoregressive models to analyze innovation quality,the effect of innovation speed on innovation output,and the relationship between innovation quality and innovation speed.The research results show that innovation quality has a significant positive contribution to innovation output and presents an N curve.Innovation speed has a significant positive contribution to innovation output and presents a U curve;Innovation quality and innovation speed have a low level of coordination.The performance of innovation quality and innovation speed interact with each other.The elastic coefficient of innovation quality increases with the increase of innovation speed,and the elastic coefficient of innovation speed decreases with the increase of innovation quality and eventually becomes a negative number.