日本智库对中美科技博弈及日本立场的认知分析

Analysis of Japan Think Tanks’ Viewpoints of Sino-U.S. Science and Technology Competition, Japan’s Position

[研究目的]随着美国加速拉拢盟友与伙伴国家对华科技围堵,日本等重要的第三国在中美科技博弈中的作用凸显。研判日本智库对中美科技竞争及日本立场的基本观点,是分析日本相关舆论走向、战略认知与政策取向的重要依据。[研究方法]通过文献分析方法以日本9家主流智库的23份代表性成果为研究样本,系统性剖析日本智库关于中美科技博弈的动因、走向、影响及日本立场的认知。[研究结论]研究发现,日本主要智库对中美科技博弈的动因及影响达成了较高共识,对其走向的研判存在一定分歧,对日本立场的认知愈加清晰,逐渐形成了以“自立型”立场为主,以“协调型”“借力型”立场为辅的观点。鉴于此,中国应强化对日本涉华科技舆情的跟踪研究,推进中日智库间沟通与交流,重视科技对外宣传。

[Research purpose] With the United States unite allies to contain China in technology area, Japan’s role is strengthened. Studying Japanese think tanks’ basic views on Sino-U.S. technological competition and Japan’s position are important for analyzing Japan’s relevant public opinion, strategic cognition and policy orientation. [Research method] By using literature analytic method, this study takes 23 representative research findings of 9 Japanese think tanks as research samples to analyze the cognition on the motivation, trend, influence and Japan’s position of the competition. [Research conclusion] This study found that major Japanese think tanks have reached a certain consensus on the motivation and impact of the competition, but have different judgments on its direction, and think that Japan should keep "self-reliance" position, supplemented by "coordination" and "borrowing" positions. So, China should strengthen the follow-up study of Japanese public opinion on Chinese technology development, promote the communication with Japanese think tanks, pay attention to the external publicity of technology.