新型城镇化与物流协同发展对低碳经济的影响--以长江经济带为例

Impact of the Collaborative Development of New Urbanization and Logistics on Low-carbon Economy--Taking the Yangtze River Economic Belt as an Example

在分析协同理论的基础上,指出了新型城镇化与物流协同发展对低碳经济的影响,结合长江经济带11省市2005—2018年面板数据构建了PVAR模型进行实证分析。结果显示,能源强度与碳排放强度互为正向影响,但二者并不能推动经济持续增长,即依靠能源消耗和牺牲环境的粗放型发展方式必须摒弃;协同能够有效减少能源强度与碳排放强度,促进经济可持续增长,从而有利于实现低碳经济。

Based on the analysis of the collaborative theory,this paper points out the impact of the collaborative development of new urbanization and logistics on low-carbon economy,and builds a PVAR model for empirical analysis based on the panel data of 11 cities and provinces in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2005 to 2018.The results show that energy intensity and carbon emission intensity have positive effects on each other,but they cannot promote sustainable economic growth,that is,the extensive development mode relying on energy consumption and sacrificing the environment must be abandoned;collaborative development can effectively reduce energy intensity and carbon emission intensity,promote sustainable economic growth,and thus contribute to the realization of low-carbon economy.