黄河流域经济—资源—环境耦合协调时空分析——以山东都市圈为例

Spatiotemporal Analysis of Economy-Resources-Environment Coupling Coordination in the Yellow River Basin:A Case Study of Shandong Metropolitan Area

黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展战略、强省会战略的加持,使得山东的都市圈变成了关注的焦点,山东都市圈的发展与黄河流域中心城市建设息息相关。论文以山东各地级市为研究对象,基于2006—2019年的相关数据,借助ArcGIS,首先利用引力模型对山东各都市圈进行比较,继而根据质量评价体系和耦合协调度模型对山东整体及各地级市的经济—资源—环境耦合协调特征进行时空分析。结果表明:强省会战略不符合山东实际,双核驱动发展更有利于全省的经济发展;耦合协调水平出现局部集聚现象,西部城市位于冷点区,东部城市位于热点区;中心城市在经济、资源与环境协调发展方面起到的带动作用有限。

The ecological conservation and high-quality development in the Yellow River Basin,and strategy of strengthening provincial capital make the Shandong metropolitan area become the focus of attention.The development of Shandong metropolitan area is closely related to the construction of central cities in the Yellow River Basin.Taking the prefecture-level cities in Shandong Province as the research object,based on the relevant data from 2006 to 2019 and with the help of ArcGIS,this paper firstly used gravitation model to compare the various metropolitan areas in Shandong Province,and then the spatiotemporal analysis of economy-resources-environment coupling coordination of the whole province and prefecture-level cities was carried out according to the quality evaluation system and coupling coordination degree model.The results indicated that the strategy of strengthening the provincial capital is not in line with the reality of Shandong,the coordinated development of Jinan and Qingdao is more conducive to the economic development of the whole province.The coupling coordination level shows local agglomeration in Shandong,and the western cities are located in the cold spot region,while the eastern cities are located in the hot spot region.The central city plays a limited driving role in the coordinated development of economy,resources and environment.