从调查数据看日本对华负面舆论的原因及其变化的可能性

The Reasons for Japan’s Negative Public Opinion on China and the Possibility of Changes Based on Survey Data

新世纪以来,日本对华舆论经历了三次急剧恶化的过程,严重影响了中日关系的健康发展。其原因在于日本右翼势力及政府的强力牵引、媒体的推波助澜、对美国的追随和盲从,以及转折时期日本社会心理的挫折感和脆弱性。不过,中日之间强大的经济联系,有助于日本社会更加理性、平衡地审视双边关系;日本民意的可塑性,可以成为中日良性互动的社会基础;日本部分精英在对华问题上的新思考、新认识,可以形成扭转对华负面舆论的突破口。从长远的视角来看,日本对华负面舆论受到某种程度的抑制,甚至是获得一定程度的改善,具有可能性,值得两国为之共同努力。

Entering in the 21st century,Japan’s public opinion on China has experienced three rapid deterioration processes,which seriously affected the development of China-Japan relations.The reason lies in the deliberate misleading of the Japanese right-wing and government,the reporting of media,the obedience of Japanese to the U.S.and the frustration and vulnerability of Japanese social psychology during the transition period.Meanwhile,strong economic ties between China and Japan will contribute to a more rational and balanced way of Japanese society to review bilateral relations,the plasticity of public opinion in Japan can become the social basis of China-Japan positive interaction,and new understanding of some Japanese elites on the issue of China may make a chance to reverse the negative public opinion on China.In the long run,Japan’s negative public opinion on China can be restrained or even improved to some extent,which is worthy of joint efforts by the two countries.