中国应对拜登政府对华“战略竞争”的对策研究——基于拜登政府对华政策话语的分析

Administration’s Strategic Competition with China——Uponthe Analysis of Biden’s Government Policy Discourse

通过对拜登团队一年来的政策话语分析,可以发现其对华竞争、对抗与合作的矛盾共存与动态微调,但这些并没有改变其对华战略竞争的基调。从政策实践来看,拜登政府以意识形态攻击为抓手,以重构世界经贸规制和产业链为支柱,以扩大地缘军事同盟为后盾,试图构建一个阻滞中国发展的立体网络和反华联盟。强大的综合实力、联盟体系和影响力使其所谓的对华战略竞争对中国的发展产生重大影响,但拜登政府也面临着资源能力与目标需求的张力、霸权成本与收益的矛盾,以及中国反制导致的成本风险等上升的挑战。有鉴于此,中国应根据大国战略竞争的规律及“成本强加”逻辑,将发展战略与反竞争战略进一步有机结合起来,以综合国力的提升和自我完善为中心,威慑美国的战争冲动;以进一步开放便利的国内市场和灵活有效的国际传播为基础,建立广泛的国际统一战线,增加美国的竞争成本;必要时,通过不对称竞争赢得反遏制的战略主动。

Through the analysis of the policy discourse of the Biden team over the past year,it can be found that the contradictory coexistence and dynamic fine-tuning of its competition,confrontation and cooperation with China have not changed the basic tone of its strategic competition with China.From the perspective of policy practice,Biden Administration takes ideological attacks as its grasp,uses global economic and trade regulations and industrial chains rebuilding as its pillars,and applies geo-military alliance expansion as its backing,to try to build a tridimensional network and anti-China alliance to hinder Chinese development.The combination of strong comprehensive strength,alliance system,and international influence make the so-call strategic competition toward China highly influential to Chinese development,but Biden Administration also faces the tension between resource capacity and targeted goals,the contradiction between hegemonic costs and benefits,and the challenge of rising costs and risks caused by Chinese countermeasures.Under such circumstance,China should grasp the laws of great-power strategic competition and the logics of cost imposition profoundly,further organically integrate development strategies and anti-competitive strategies,focus on the improvement and self-perfection of comprehensive strengths to deter U.S.impulse to war.Moreover,based on further opening of convenient domestic market and flexible and effective international communication,China should also establish a broad international united front to elevate U.S.competitive costs.China should also be prepared to use asymmetric competition to gain strategic initiative and counter containment if necessary.