乡村产业振兴对农村居民消费升级的影响

The Impacts of Rural Industrial Revitalization on Rural Residents’Consumption Upgrading

基于全国30个省份2005—2019年的面板数据,构建了乡村产业振兴评价指标体系,同时建立了静态固定效应模型与动态GMM模型,分别从农村居民消费水平与消费结构升级两个方面探究了乡村产业振兴对农村居民消费升级的影响。研究表明:(1)除北京、上海外,我国各省份乡村产业振兴指数整体呈稳步上升趋势,虽在空间上依然呈东、中、西部阶梯式递减态势,但中、西部地区年均增长率均高于东部地区;(2)乡村产业振兴对农村居民消费水平与消费结构升级均有显著的正向促进作用;(3)乡村产业振兴对农村居民八大消费支出均有正向促进作用,其中对衣着、家庭设备、文教娱乐与医疗保健支出的作用系数较为显著。因此,以乡村产业振兴推动农村居民消费升级,同时以消费升级引导农村产业发展,共同为我国“双循环”新发展格局的构建、乡村振兴战略的实施以及共同富裕目标的实现提供有力支撑。

Based on the panel data of 30 provincial-level administrative regions except Tibet from2005 to 2019,this paper constructs an evaluation index system for China’srural industrial revitalization and establishes a static fixed effect model and a dynamic GMM model to explores the impact of rural industrial revitalization on rural residents’consumption upgrading from the two aspects:the level of rural residents’consumption and the upgrading of consumption structure.The findings show that:(1)except Beijing and Shanghai,the index of the rural industrial revitalization of all the provinces shows an overallsteady upward trend.Although it still presents aeast-centre-west stepping down trend in space,the average annual growth rate of the central and western regions is greater than that of the eastern region;(2)the revitalization of rural industries has a significant positive effect on the overall consumption level and the upgrading of consumption structure of rural residents;(3)the revitalization of rural industries has a positive effect on the eight major consumption expenditures of rural residents,among which the effect coefficients on clothing,household equipment,culture,education,entertainment and medical care expenditures are more significant.Therefore,to promote the consumption upgrading of rural residents by the revitalization of rural industry,and at the same time,to guide the development of rural industries by consumption upgrading can jointly provide strong support for the construction of China’s new“dual circulation”development pattern,the implementation of the rural revitalization strategy and the achievement of the goal of common prosperity.