摘要
当今世界,全球化出现了由经济全球化转向安全全球化的趋势,并存在进一步向“全球安全困境”坍缩的迹象。一些国家的政策开始由倾向于通过经济全球化带动增长,转向更多考虑国家安全因素并宁可为此牺牲经济效率,表现出更不相信开放、更不相信市场、战略竞争加码、供应链及支付网络安全化、军事投入及部署增加等特征。拯救全球化的根本之道在于通过突破性创新驱动的技术进步,将趋于疲弱的世界经济扭转至相对高速的增长轨道,让各国由“存量博弈”回归“增量博弈”。边疆或边缘地区具有打破常规、爆发出制度及科技等方面突破性创新的有利条件,但也存在特有的脆弱性。对一国而言,除应针对边疆地区出台大兴创新之风的鼓励政策外,还应当加强对其所承受的硬权力及软权力影响情况的监测和研判,在用好国际国内两个市场、两种资源的同时,须臾不可放松在软权力上的引致性投资,增强边疆地区的向心力,为其富有活力的突破性创新潜力的发挥创造安定团结的社会环境。
In today’s world,the trend of globalization is shifting from economic globalization to security globalization with the possibility of further collapsing into a“global security dilemma”.The policies of some major countries began to change from focusing on the globalization-driven economic growth to emphasizing national security factors at the expense of economic efficiency.This prevailing trend is featured by more distrust in openness and market,mounting strategic competition,securitization of supply chain and payment network,and increased military investment and deployment.The fundamental way to save globalization is to place the world economy back to a relatively high growth trajectory through technological progress driven by breakthrough innovations,and restore relations between countries from a“zero-sum game”to a“win-win situation”.Frontier or peripheral regions enjoy favorable conditions for breaking free from conventions and achieving breakthroughs in institutional and technological innovations,but their particular vulnerabilities still persist.Countries should not only launch stimulus policies to promote innovation in frontier regions,but also strengthen monitoring and evaluation of the impacts exerted by both hard and soft power on them.While making good use of international and domestic markets and resources,countries should make great efforts to attract talents and investments,continue to enhance the centripetal force in frontier regions,and create a favorable social environment featuring stability and solidarity to bring into full play their potentials for breakthrough innovations.
作者
冯维江
FENG Weijiang(University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences(UCASS);Institute of World Economics and Politics,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences(IWEP-CASS),Beijing,100732)
出处
《国际安全研究》
北大核心
2023年第1期50-74,157,158,共27页
Journal of International Security Studies
基金
习近平经济思想研究中心2022年度课题的研究成果,课题编号A2022014,课题负责人为张宇燕研究员。
关键词
安全全球化
安全困境
同规博弈
异规博弈
security globalization
security dilemma
competition under the same rules
competition under different rules