中美博弈与韩国对外经济合作政策调整

China-US Strategic Competition and Foreign Economic Policy Adjustment of Korea

韩国长期采取“双向对冲”路线管控中美博弈风险,阶段性调整合作重心,并基于产业利益调控合作深度。面对拜登政府构建排他性全球经济合作框架的局面,尹锡悦政府对外经济合作重心进一步对美“偏移”,以避免在美国主导的全球经济合作框架中被“边缘化”。同时,借力韩美合作开拓欧亚、印太市场,降低对华经济依赖,并以“经济安全”加强韩美供应链合作。尹锡悦政府的相关政策忽视了韩美在对华合作上的内在分歧,引发韩国社会对经济合作失衡的担忧。未来,韩国可能会推进“选择性”对华经济合作。

Since the China-US strategic competition, ROK has chosen to implement the "double hedging" to strengthen cooperation with the US and China to control risks. ROK also periodically adjusting the cooperative partner, and adjust the cooperation depth based on industrial interests. Faced with the establishment of exclusive economic mechanism under the Biden administration, the Yoon administration further tilting toward United States to avoid "marginalization" in the Indo-Pacific Regional. Meanwhile, Through cooperation with the United States, ROK put efforts to explore the market of US’s Eurasian Allies to reduce economic dependence on China. ROK also uses "economic security" to strengthen supply chain cooperation with the United States and protect industrial competitiveness.The pro-US stance in the economic cooperation ignores the interest difference between ROK and the United States in the cooperation with China, The Yoon Administration is likely to selectively conduct economic cooperation with China in order to maintain the overall balance between the two powers.