基于合成控制法的地票制度评估与机制分析

On Effectiveness and Mechanismof Land Ticket System Based on Synthetic Control Method

基于省级面板数据,采用合成控制法评估地票制度对促进重庆市人均收入的政策效果,并从土地利用效率与配置效率两方面入手,探究城乡建设用地指标市场化配置影响人均收入的作用机理。研究结果表明,地票制度通过释放农村大量闲置土地,实现土地资源配置效率的优化,进而显著促进了人均收入增长。未来仍需在提升土地资源利用水平和农村居民生活水平上进一步完善政策措施。

Based on the provincial panel data,this paper applied synthetic control method to evaluate the policy effect of land ticket system on raising per capita income of Chongqing and analyzed the mechanism of how market-based allocation of urban and rural construction land quota affected per capital income from aspects of land use efficiency and allocation efficiency.The results were shown as follows:land ticket policy mitigated the conflict between the increasing demand of construction land and red line of arable land,and optimized the allocation of land resources by releasing a great amount of idle land in rural area,thus ensuring a significant increase in per capita income of Chongqing.However,policies about improving the utilization of land resources and living standard of rural residents still need to be perfected.