“软-硬”关系框架下城市型目的地出入境旅游响应路径——基于1997―2019年中国香港特区数据的组态分析

Response Path of Inbound and Outbound Tourism of Urban Destinations Under Inter-regional Relationship Influence Framework:Configuration Analysis Based on the Data of Hong Kong,China,from 1997 to 2019

选取1997―2019年中国香港特区数据,使用定性比较分析(QCA)方法对出入境旅游流产生路径的前因条件以及结果条件进行分析,研究结果表明:(1)在路径数量上,虽持续简化,但是仍然具有复杂性;(2)在核心条件中,所有的单因素均不构成影响的核心条件,中国香港出入境旅游流路径受到多因素组合作用;(3)在前因条件中,“软-硬”关系影响存在差异,硬实力关系对高出入境旅游流起主导作用,软实力关系则对非高出入境旅游流作用较大;(4)在路径国家(地区)中,高和非高出入境旅游流存在显著地区差异;(5)在时间层面上,阶段1与阶段2、阶段3路径差异较大,表明时间节点的分割事件对中国香港出入境旅游的影响不同。

This article selects data from Hong Kong,China during the period of 1997-2019.The antecedent and consequential conditions are analyzed by using the qualitative comparative analysis(QCA)to determine the path of inbound and outbound tourism flow.The research results are as follow:1)In terms of the number of paths,although it is continuously simplified,it is still complex;2)In terms of core conditions,all single factors do not constitute core conditions of influence,and the pathways of Hong Kong’s inbound and outbound tourism flows are affected by a combination of multiple factors;3)In terms of antecedent conditions,there are differences in the impact of IRRIF,with the hard power relationship playing a dominant role in high inbound and outbound tourism flows and the soft power relationship playing a greater role in non-high inbound and outbound tourism flows;4)Among the path countries/regions,there are significant regional differences between high and non-high inbound and outbound tourism flows;5)At the temporal level,the paths of stage 1 are quite different from those of stage 2 and stage 3,indicating that the segmentation events of time nodes have different impact on inbound and outbound tourism in Hong Kong,China.