草原补奖政策下牧户家庭收入的影响研究——以内蒙古锡林郭勒盟为例

Research on the Influence of Herdsmen’s Family Income under the Grassland Subsidy Policy——Take Xilingol League,Inner Mongolia as an example

为探究草原补奖政策对牧户家庭收入的影响,本研究基于锡林郭勒盟219户牧民调研数据,运用分位数回归模型,对牧民收入的影响因素和作用程度进行分析。结果显示:草原补奖政策促进牧民增收,尤其是对低收入牧户家庭增收效果显著;草场使用面积、年初家畜数量、劳动力比例、家畜出生率及出售率对牧民收入具有显著正影响,当草场使用面积、年初家畜数量分别增加1公顷、1羊单位,人均总收入分别提高0.02%,0.15%;劳动力比例、家畜出生率及出售率分别提高1%时,人均总收入分别提高0.65%,0.43%,1.83%;各因素对不同收入家庭的收入影响及作用程度具有差异性,即随着收入水平的提高,劳动力比例增收效果趋于加强,而家畜出生率和出售率的增收效果则趋于减弱。因此,建议引导牧民发展畜牧业适度规模经营、加大畜牧业社会化服务体系建设等以提高牧民收入水平。

In order to explore the impact of grassland subsidy policy on the income of herdsmen,based on the survey data of 219 herdsmen households of Xilingol League,this research used a quantile regression model to analyze the influencing factors and effect degree of herdsmen’s income.The results showed that the grassland subsidy policy promoted the increase of herdsmen’s income,especially for low-income herdsman families.The area of grassland used,the number of livestock at the beginning of the year,the proportion of the labor force,the birth rate,and the sales rate of livestock had a significant positive impact on herdsmen’s income.When the area of grassland used and the number of livestock at the beginning of the year increased by 1 hectare and 1 sheep unit respectively,the total per capita income increased by 0.02% and 0.15% respectively.The proportion of the labor force,the birth rate,and the sales rate of livestock increased by 1%,and the per capita total income of herdsmen increased by 0.65%,0.43%,and 1.83% respectively.The influence and degree of each factor on the income of different income families were different.With the increase in income level,the increasing effect of the proportion of the labor force tended to be stronger,while the increasing effect of the birth rate and sales rate of livestock tended to be weaker.Therefore,it is suggested to guide herdsmen to develop animal husbandry on an appropriate scale and increase the construction of a socialized service system of animal husbandry to improve herdsmen’s income level.