2021年安徽省经济增速落后苏浙原因分析

Analysis of Reasons Why Anhui Province's Economic Growth Rate Lag behind Jiangsu and Zhejiang in 2021

经济发展水平是决定电力需求走势的关键因素。“十二五”以来,安徽省经济增速在长三角和全国持续领先,支撑电力需求增长相对最快。但新冠疫情发生以来,安徽电力需求和经济增速领先优势明显减弱。文章从三次产业和地市发展差异两个维度出发,量化分析安徽经济增速领先优势减弱原因,并结合省内最新政策动向,对后期经济走势进行预判,为全省电力需求预测提供可靠的支撑依据。

The level of economic development is a key factor determining the trend of electricity demand.Since the"Twelfth Five-Year Plan",the economic growth rate of Anhui province has continued to lead in the Yangtze River Delta and the whole country,supporting the relatively fastest growth in electricity demand.However,since the outbreak of the COVID-19,Anhui province's leading edge in electricity demand and economic growth has significantly weakened.Starting from the two dimensions of the three industries and the development differences between cities and regions,this paper quantitatively analyzes the reasons for the weakening of the province's lead in economic growth,and predicts the later economic trends based on the latest policy trends in the province,which provides reliable supports for the province's electricity demand forecasts.