俄罗斯北极油气勘探形势与未来合作展望

Petroleum exploration situation and cooperation prospects in Russian Arctic

最近10多年以来,俄罗斯北极油气勘探坚持自立自强、积极保持战略定力,油气勘探取得显著进展,进一步证实了其巨大的勘探开发潜力,展现出良好的合作前景。通过系统梳理和总结俄罗斯北极地区油气勘探现状与主要勘探新成果,明确了未来重要勘探方向,提出了相关合作建议。俄罗斯北极勘探活动历史久远,但油气发现主要集中分布于西部地区;东部地区广袤海域勘探仍将长期处于普查阶段,未来很长一段时间内仍将难以取得有经济效益的实质性进展;2010年以来的油气新发现绝大部分依然位于西部,南喀拉海域油气勘探成果最为丰硕;西部和中部海域陆架是未来勘探重点方向。中俄未来北极油气合作前景广阔,可依托现有项目积极深化两类资产合作,同时要立足长远谋划,做好中长期目标与项目运营能力的超前储备。

Over the past 10 years,remarkable progress has been made in petroleum exploration in Russian Arctic by adhering to self-reliance and self-improvement,as well as actively maintaining strategic focus,which further confirm the huge exploration and development potential and show promising prospects for cooperation.The systematic organization and summary of the current situation of petroleum exploration and major new achievements in Russian Arctic region enable to identify the main exploration orientation in the future and propose the relevant cooperation suggestions.The exploration activities in Russian Arctic region experienced a long history,but oil and gas discoveries were mainly concentrated in the western region;While the general survey will be dominant for a long period in the vast sea areas in the eastern region,and the substantial progress with economic benefits will hard to be made for a long time in the future;Since 2010,most of the new oil and gas discoveries have been made in the western region,with the most fruitful achievements in the South Kara Sea area;The western and central sea shelves are the key orientation for future exploration.It shows broad cooperation prospects between China and Russia in Arctic region.The cooperation on two types of assets should actively be deepened by relying on existing projects.Meanwhile,the medium and long-term goals as well as the advanced reserves of project operation capability should be prepared based on the long-term planning.