多源数据视角下山东省限制开发区产业生态转型的时空异质性识别

Spatio-temporal Heterogeneity Characteristics of Industrial Ecological Transformation in Restricted Development Zones of Shandong from the Perspective of Multi-source Data

基于产业生态转型内涵,从发展态势和转型幅度两个方面综合构建分析框架与评价模型,并从多源数据视角下对2006—2018年山东省限制开发区产业生态转型的时空异质性及障碍因素进行研究。结果表明:(1)研究期限内产业生态化呈先升后降态势,总体水平变幅不大,说明限制开发区产业生态化发展具有稳健性特征;转型幅度得分优良与较差县域占比稳定在50%左右,折射出集约化内涵式产业发展道路虽取得一定成效,但尚未改变限制开发区产业系统生态环境负外部性的本质。(2)整体而言,研究期内产业生态转型成效尚不突出,空间上东高西低的两极化发展格局愈加凸显;产业生态化发展对转型绩效提升的贡献度较大,转型幅度尚未发挥重要驱动作用。(3)影响产业生态转型的主要障碍因子为地方财政收入、绿化面积、城乡居民储蓄存款余额、社会消费品零售额和外资依存度。

The comprehensive evaluation of industrial ecological developing transformation and the diagnosis of obstacle factors for the restricted development zone of Shandong Province are important basis for promoting the conversion of new and old kinetic energy and regional sustainable development in Shandong Province.Based on the scientific connotation of industrial ecological transformation, this article constructed a measurement framework and model from two aspects of the development status and the transformation extent, and then evaluated the spatial-temporal evolution pattern and influencing factors of industrial ecological transformation performance in the restricted development zone from 2006 to 2018. The results show that: 1) The development status rises first and then declines during the study period, and the total level of development status changes not obvious indicating that the industrial ecology development in the restricted development zone is characterized by robustness;the proportion of counties with excellent and poor transformation extent remains stable at about 50%, it reflects that the intensive and connotative industrial development path has obtained certain results in recent years, while it also has not yet changed the essence of negative interactions between the industrial system and the ecological environment in the restricted development zone. 2) In general, the performance of industrial ecological transformation makes a little progress within the study period, and the spatial distribution of it is higher in the east of Shandong and lower in the west, this polarized development pattern has become more prominent over time;in addition, the industrial ecology development status has made a greater contribution to the improvement of transformation performance, and the transformation extent has not yet been an important driving role. 3) The main obstacle factors affecting the process of industrial ecological transformation are general budgetary revenue of local finance, the greening area, urban and rural household savings deposits, total retail sales of consumer goods and dependence on foreign investment.