双循环视角下的东亚区域价值链发展与我国经济安全

The Development of the Global Value Chain in East Asia and the Economic Security of China from the Perspective of Dual Circulation

全球价值链稳定发展是保证我国经济安全的前提和基础。在当前全球价值链短链化和区域化转变的大背景下,维持东亚地区全球价值链的稳定发展与转型是保证我国全球价值链稳定发展进而保证国家经济安全的关键。中美贸易战和新冠肺炎疫情全球蔓延背景下,东亚区域价值链同时存在着“稳定发展”和“去中国化”两种发展趋势。本文分析表明,双循环发展战略与东亚价值链的稳定发展之间存在有机联系,为此我国应该加快这一战略实施,尽快形成国内大循环畅通运转、国内国际双循环相互促进的新发展格局;努力提升自主创新能力,延长价值链长度;加快推进与东亚各国的合作互动,稳固我国在东亚区域价值链中心地位的同时,实现与东亚各国互惠共生、互利共赢的包容性增长。

The stable development of the Global Value Chain(GVC) is a prerequisite for and the foundation of our economic security. Under the background of shortening and regional transformation of the GVC,maintaining the stable development and transformation of the GVC in East Asia is very important for the stable development of China’s GVC and national economic security. Under the background of the Sino-US trade war and the global spread of COVID-19,there are two trends of “stable development” and “de-Sinicization” in the GVC of East Asia. This paper shows that there is a close relationship between the dual circulation economic strategy and the stable development of the GVC of East Asia. Therefore, China should accelerate the implementation of dual circulation to form a new development pattern, in which domestic economic cycle plays a leading role while domestic and international economic cycle support each other. We should enhance the ability of independent innovation and extend the value chain,and accelerate cooperation and interaction with East Asian countries to consolidate China’s position in the center of the GVC in East Asia and achieve inclusive growth of mutual benefit and win-win cooperation with East Asian countries.