乡村振兴中规模性返贫风险的发生机理与阻断机制

Occurrence Mechanism and Blocking Mechanism of Risks of Large-scale Returning to Impoverishment in Rural Vitalization

守住不发生规模性返贫底线是乡村振兴阶段巩固扩展脱贫攻坚成果,实现精准扶贫与乡村振兴有效衔接的基础和前提。本文通过提炼自然灾害频发、生命健康隐患、市场风险增多、政策执行偏差等乡村振兴中的主要风险点,总结可能引致规模性返贫风险的关键事件;基于“传统—现代”视野,从传统的持续影响与现代性的自反性两方面进一步解析乡村振兴中规模性返贫风险点的深层次诱因;归纳乡村振兴阶段结构与制度的变迁、风险环境、风险抵御机制与规模性返贫四大关键要素,通过分析其互动过程,揭示乡村振兴中规模性返贫风险的演化逻辑与发生机理;最后基于上述分析,从实现源头识别、转向合作治理、推进主体性重塑三个方面构建乡村振兴中规模性返贫风险的阻断机制。

In the stage of rural vitalization,preventing the risk of large-scale returning to impoverishment is the foundation and premise to consolidate and expand the achievements of poverty alleviation,and to fulfill an effective connection between targeted poverty alleviation and rural vitalization.This paper extracts the main risks in the rural vitalization,such as the frequent natural disasters,the hidden danger of life and health,the increase of market risks and the deviation of policy implementation,and analyzes the inducement to the risk of large-scale returning to impoverishment from two aspects,and then reveals its evolution and occurrence mechanism.It is suggested to establish a blocking mechanism for the risk of large-scale returning to impoverishment in rural vitalization from source identifying,cooperative governance and subjectivity reinvention.