基于PCA-PLS的池州市乡村旅游驱动因子的识别及响应

Identification and Response of Driving Factors of Rural Tourism in Chizhou City Based on PCA-PLS Analysis

科学识别出乡村旅游发展驱动因子的影响效应对促进乡村旅游高质量发展具有重要启示意义。基于频度分析与专家咨询方法,从旅游资源、社会经济发展水平、发展潜力三个方面选取了旅游收入等15个乡村旅游评价指标,运用主成分分析方法对池州市乡村旅游发展综合指数进行了测算;采用偏最小二乘回归分析方法对乡村旅游驱动因子影响效应进行了考察。结果表明:①池州市乡村旅游发展指数由2008年的43.59跃升至2019年的83.59,年均升幅5.58%;②旅游投入、经济发展水平、资源禀赋、劳动力边际弹性系数分别为0.187502、0.045173、0.018614、0.000454,基于研究结果,针对性地提出了池州市乡村旅游高质量发展路径。

Scientifically identifying the impact of driving factors of rural tourism development has important en-lightenment significance for promoting the high-quality development of rural tourism.Based on the frequency analysis and expert consultation method,this paper selects 15 rural tourism evaluation indexes such as tourism income from three aspects of tourism resources,socio-economic development level and development potential,and uses the principal component analysis method to calculate the comprehensive index of rural tourism development in Chizhou City;Using partial least squares regression analysis method,this paper investigates the influence effect of rural tourism driving factors.The results show that:①the rural tourism development index of Chizhou City jumped from 43.59 in 2008 to 83.59 in 2019,with an average annual increase of 5.58%;②The tourism investment,economic development level,resource endowment and marginal elasticity coefficient of labor force are 0.187502,0.045173,0.018614 and 0.000454 respectively.Based on the research results,the paper puts forward the high-quality development path of rural tourism in Chizhou City.