知识图谱视角下近十年气候变化经济影响研究进展和前沿

Economic Impact of Climate Change: A Comprehensive Visualization Bibliometric Analysis for Research Progress and Frontiers Since 2010

基于Web of Science(WOS)核心合集中2010年以来发表的以“气候变化”“经济”和“影响”为主题词的文献,从知识图谱视角对气候变化经济影响领域的研究主题、演进历程以及前沿热点进行分析。以期通过了解和把握该领域自2010年以来的研究脉络和热点演变,明确发展趋势,为促进我国气候变化经济影响研究的发展和创新提供参考。结果显示,2010年以来气候变化经济影响研究重点分为6个主题,分别为减排和可持续发展、适应与风险管理、气候公平与发展、土地生态、渔业及生计,以及农业和水安全。近10年来该领域研究的发展主要包括研究对象的扩展以及方法方案的扩展这两条演进路径,且自2017年起热点明显向后者迁移。近年研究前沿主要集中于研究方法和解决方案,包括机器学习、经济技术分析、基于自然的解决方案等。

Based on the literature with the key words of “climate change” “economy” and “impact” published since 2010 in the core collection of Web of Science(WOS), this paper studies the research theme, evolution process and frontier hotspots in the field of economic impact of climate change from the perspective of visualization bibliometric analysis. It is aimed to understand and grasp the research context and hotspot evolution in this field since 2010, and to identify the development trend, so as to provide reference for promoting the development and innovation of the research on the economic impact of climate change in China. The results show that since 2010, the research on the economic impact of climate change can be mainly divided into 6 clusters based on keyword co-occurrence, which are emission reduction and sustainable development, adaptation and crisis management, climate fairness and equity, land and ecology, recreation and fishery, and agriculture and water security. The research progress in this field involves two phases, namely research themes with crossing fields(2011-2016) and technical methods & climate solutions(2017-2021). Since 2017, the research frontiers have been shifted toward the second phase. And the research frontiers in the recent years have focused on research methodology and solutions, including machine learning, techno-economic analysis and nature-based solution.