互联网提升了发展中大国经济韧性吗?--来自中国的经验证据

Has the Internet Promoted the Economic Resilience of Large Developing Countries: Empirical Evidence from China

互联网运营的重要前提条件是使用互联网的人口数量和规模,因而拥有庞大人口规模的发展中大国往往具有发展互联网经济的优势,并且获得提升经济韧性的收益。以中国2000—2020年31个省份经济发展数据为样本,科学探究了互联网对发展中大国经济韧性的影响。研究结果表明,互联网有助于大国经济韧性的提升,并且这种促进作用在抵抗恢复力维度尤为突出;互联网对经济韧性存在明显的规模效应,当网民规模占比超过36.55%时,互联网对经济韧性的作用由负转正;互联网对区域经济韧性具有多元化特征,具体表现为在中值韧性区互联网具有显著的正向作用,而在低值韧性区和高值韧性区互联网表现出不显著的负向作用。通过IV-2SLS内生性检验后上述结果依然稳健。

An important prerequisite for the operation of the Internet is the number and size of the population using it, and thus large developing countries with large population sizes tend to have the advantage of developing an Internet economy and reap the benefits from increased economic resilience. This paper takes the economic development data of 31 provinces in China from 2000 to 2020 as samples to scientifically explore the impact of the Internet on the economic resilience of large developing countries.The results show that the Internet contributes to the economic resilience of major countries, and this contribution is particularly prominent in the dimension of resistance. And there is a significant scale effect of the Internet on economic resilience. When the proportion of Internet users exceeds 36.55%, the effect of Internet on economic resilience turns from negative to positive. Besides, the Internet has diversified characteristics on regional economic resilience. Specifically, it has a significant positive effect in the median resilience area, while it has no significant negative effect in the low-value resilience area and high-value resilience area. The results above remain robust after IV-2SLS endogeneity test.