“星链”技术发展预测及对未来作战的影响

Technological development predictions of the Starlink and its influences to future combat

低轨通信卫星在俄乌冲突中发挥了重要的作用,甚至影响了战争的走势,因此以“星链”为代表的低轨通信卫星的技术如何发展,值得跟踪与关注。梳理了俄乌冲突中“星链”军事应用的基础上,对其技术发展的方向做了预测,并从反导、无人作战、天基指控、太空作战四个方面分析了“星链”对未来作战的影响,最后针对性地给出了对策和发展建议。

In the conflict between Russia and Ukraine,communication satellites have played an important role,even have influenced the trends of the conflict.So it is worthy tracing and paying close attention to the development of communication satellites represented by the Starlink.On the base of sorting the military application of the Starlink out from the conflict between Russia and Ukraine,the trends of the Starlink development are predicted.The influences to future combat are analyzed from four aspects,including anti-missile,UAV combat,spacebased command control and space combat.The suggestions are given finally.