乡村振兴对国内大循环影响的实证检验

An Empirical Test of the Influence of Rural Revitalization on Domestic Great Circulation

文章将乡村振兴水平分解为农村产业发展水平、农村生态环境水平、农村社会发展水平和农民生活水平四个维度,构建乡村振兴水平评价指标体系,利用熵值法测算乡村振兴指数,并从国内大循环的生产、分配、流通、消费四大环节出发,选取耦合协调度模型测算了国内大循环水平。在此基础上,采用2005—2019年我国省级面板数据和动态面板GMM方法实证检验了乡村振兴对国内大循环的影响。研究发现:乡村振兴水平和国内大循环水平均存在明显的省际差异,基本与经济发展水平的地域分布呈现一致性,北上广及江浙地区的乡村振兴水平和国内大循环水平均遥遥领先;乡村振兴水平对国内大循环畅通具有显著正向促进作用,且在考虑了内生性等问题后,估计结果依然稳健;加速城镇化和提高工业发展水平均有助于国内大循环畅通。

This paper divides the level of rural revitalization into four dimensions:the level of rural industry development,the level of rural ecological environment,the level of rural social development and the living level of farmers,constructs the evaluation index system of rural revitalization level,uses the entropy method to measure the rural revitalization index,and selects the coupled coordination degree model to measure the level of domestic great cycle from the four aspects of production,distribution,circulation and consumption.On this basis,the paper uses the provincial panel data from 2005 to 2019 and the dynamic panel GMM method to empirically test the impact of rural revitalization on domestic great circulation.The results are as the following:There are obvious inter-provincial differences in the level of rural revitalization and the level of domestic great circulation;they are basically consistent with the regional distribution of economic development level;the level of rural revitalization and domestic great circulation in Beijing,Shanghai,Guangzhou,Jiangsu and Zhejiang are far ahead.Rural revitalization level has a significant positive promoting effect on domestic great circulation,and after considering the endogeneity and other issues,the estimation result is still robust.Accelerating urbanization and improving the level of industrial development have promoting effect on domestic great circulation.