摘要
根据2021年的成本核算,海上风电在短期内难以做到平价并网,是否应该继续推行财政补贴成为热议的话题。构建以海上风电企业和政府作为参与者的演化博弈模型,分析政府补贴意愿和海上风电企业研发投入新产品意愿的博弈策略,得出了与产业发展阶段、政府补贴力度、政府补贴方式、政府监督力度相关的4个结论。通过对中国海上风电产业现状分析,作出了中国海上风电产业仍处于产业发展初期的判断,存在地区差异较大、创新质量不高、行业规范缺失的问题,认为现阶段全面退补并不适用中国海上风电产业,并提出地方政府应接力国家补贴,因地制宜地制定高效的补贴方案,为实现“3060”碳中和、碳达峰提供强劲动力。提出了海上风电产业补贴的以下建议:明晰发展阶段,精准补贴政策;重视产业初期的培育需求,强化初期补贴力度;创新补贴方式,营造创新环境。
According to the cost accounting in 2021,offshore wind power is difficult to achieve parity grid connection in the short term.Whether to continue to implement financial subsidies has become a hot topic.This paper constructs an evolutionary game model with offshore wind power enterprises and the government as participants,analyzes the game strategy of the willingness of government subsidies and the willingness of offshore wind power enterprises to invest in new products,and draws four conclusions related to the stage of industrial development,the intensity of government subsidies,the way of government subsidies,and the intensity of government supervision.Finally,through the analysis of the current situation of China’s offshore wind power industry,it is judged that China’s offshore wind power industry is still in the early stage of industrial development,and there are problems such as large regional differences,low innovation quality and lack of industry norms.It is considered that the comprehensive subsidy refund at this stage is not applicable to China’s offshore wind power industry,and it is proposed that local governments should relay national subsidies and formulate efficient subsidy schemes according to local conditions to achieve"3060"carbon neutrality Carbon peak provides strong power.Based on this,this paper puts forward the following suggestions for the subsidy of offshore wind power industry:clarify the development stage and precise subsidy policy;Pay attention to the cultivation demand at the initial stage of the industry and strengthen the initial subsidy;Innovate the way of subsidies and create an innovative environment.
作者
邓江锋
刘陈真子
张效莉
DENG Jiangfeng;LIU Chenzhenzi;ZHANG Xiaoli(School of economics and management,Shanghai Ocean University,Shanghai 201306,China)
出处
《海洋经济》
2022年第6期52-63,共12页
Marine Economy
关键词
海上风电
演化博弈
补贴政策
Offshore wind power
Evolutionary game
Subsidy policy