山西省旅游经济韧性时空特征及影响因素研究

Study on the Spatial-temporalFeatures and Influencing Factors of Tourism EconomicResilienceinShanxiProvince

通过构建旅游经济韧性指标体系,运用熵权-TOPSIS法对2010-2020年山西省旅游经济韧性进行综合测算,同时借助GIS空间分析方法、地理探测器模型研究其时空特征变化及影响因素。结果表明,(1)研究期内,山西省旅游经济韧性总体上升,在旅游经济韧性各维度中,抵抗力的波动幅度最大。(2)中高等级韧性区域分布在北、中、南部三个区域。分维度看,抵抗力呈现中、南部高,西、北部低的格局特征,恢复力和转型力表现为由南向北递增,重构力空间上表现为从南、北部向中部递增的格局。(3)年末金融机构各项贷款余额、城镇居民人均生活消费支出和年末单位从业人员数是影响2010-2020年山西省旅游经济韧性的主要因素,不同影响因子的交互类型为非线性增强和双因子增强。

In this paper,the tourism economic resilience index system is constructed and the entropy weight TOPSIS method is adopted to comprehensively calculate the tourism economic resilience of Shanxi Province from 2010 to 2020,whose spatial-temporal features and influencing factors are studied with the help of GIS spatial analysis method and geographic detector model. Here are the research findings:(1) During the study period,the overall resilience of tourism economy in Shanxi Province appears to be increased despite the fluctuations in some years. Among the dimensions of tourism economic resilience,the fluctuation range of resistance is the largest.(2) The medium and high-grade regions of tourism economic toughness in Shanxi are gradually increasing,and the medium and high-grade regions are distributed in the north,middle and South regions. From the perspective of dimensions,the resistance is characterized by a pattern of high in the middle and south and low in the north and west. The resilience and transformation capacity increase from south to north,and the reconstruction capacity spatially increases from north and south to the middle.(3) The loan balance of financial institutions at the end of the year,the per capita living consumption expenditure of urban residents and the number of employees per unit at the end of the year are the main factors affecting the tourism economic resilience of Shanxi Province from 2010 to 2020. The interaction types of different influencing factors are nonlinear enhancement and double factor enhancement.