浙江省贸易出口量的影响因素分析

An Analysis of the Influencing Factors of Zhejiang’s Trade Export Volume

自从改革开放以来,我国经济飞速发展,特别是出口贸易对经济的增长作用显著提高。2021年,浙江着手建设高质量发展建设共同富裕示范区,如何进一步发挥贸易出口对经济的拉动作用十分重要。本文从交通与科技的角度,通过OLS模型,采用2002—2017年数据,对我国货物贸易出口量的影响因素进行实证检验,得出的结论是贸易出口总额与沿海港口货物吞吐量成正相关,与地区生产总值成负相关,并据此提出促进浙江对外贸易发展相关政策建议。

Since the reform and opening up, China’s economy has developed rapidly, especially the role of export trade in economic growth has been significantly improved. In 2021, Zhejiang will begin to build a high-quality development demonstration zone for common prosperity. How to further play the role of trade exports in stimulating the economy is very important. From the perspective of transportation and science and technology, this paper uses the OLS model and the data from 2002 to 2017 to conduct an empirical test on the influencing factors of China’s cargo trade exports. The conclusion is that the total volume of trade exports is positively correlated with the cargo throughput of coastal ports, and negatively correlated with the regional GDP. Based on this, we propose relevant policy recommendations to promote the development of Zhejiang’s foreign trade.