基于可拓物元理论的水利工程施工进度风险评价

Risk Assessment of Hydraulic Engineering Construction Schedule Based on Extension Matter-element Theory

水利工程施工进度风险的科学分析评价,能够保障施工进度按照既定计划顺利进行。首先,充分考虑水利工程施工阶段特点,基于案例分析法、核查表法与德尔菲法(专家调查法)相结合的方法对水利工程施工进度风险进行识别,建立水利工程施工进度风险指标评价体系;其次,基于可拓物元理论构建水利工程施工进度风险评价模型;最后,进行实证研究,验证该模型在水利工程施工进度风险评价中具有科学性和适用性。

Scientific Analysis and evaluation of construction schedule risks can ensure that the construction schedule is in accordance with the hydraulic engineering plan. First of all, taking into full account the characteristics of the hydraulic engineering construction phase, the construction schedule risk is identified based on the combination of case analysis method, check table method and Delphi method, secondly, based on the extension matter-element theory, a risk evaluation model of hydraulic engineering construction schedule is established, and finally, an empirical study is carried out, it is verified that the model is scientific and applicable in the risk assessment of hydraulic engineering construction schedule.