环境规制影响西部地区人口城镇化的中介效应研究——基于结构方程模型的路径分析

Research on the Intermediary Effect of Environmental Regulations on Urbanization in Western Regions:Path Analysis based on Structural Equation Model

人口城镇化是提升新型城镇化质量的关键,对推动中国社会主义现代化和经济高质量发展起着重要作用。文章以中国西部地区为例,基于环境规制视角探索影响人口城镇化的传导机制,选取2000—2020年中国西部地区省级面板数据,构建结构方程模型(SEM),分析环境规制影响人口城镇化的中介路径。研究发现:在环境规制对西部地区人口城镇化的影响过程中,技术创新促进经济增长的链式中介起主要的正向作用;技术创新、产业结构调整单一中介的正向作用次之。研究提出西部地区环境规制政策要兼顾技术创新和产业结构调整的双重目标,以此促进经济增长并带动人口城镇化的政策启示。

Population urbanization is the key to improving the quality of new urbanization, and it plays an important role in promoting my country’s socialist modernization and high-quality economic development. Taking the western region of my country as an example,this paper explores the transmission mechanism affecting population urbanization from the perspective of environmental regulation, and uses the provincial panel data in the Western from 2000 to 2020 to construct a structural equation model(SEM) to analyze the mediating path of environmental regulation affecting population urbanization. The study found that: In the process of environmental regulation affecting the population urbanization in the western region, the chain intermediary of technological innovation to promote economic growth plays a major positive role;The positive role of a single intermediary of technological innovation and industrial structure adjustment is second.It is proposed that the environmental regulation policy in the western region should take into account the dual goals of technological innovation and industrial structure adjustment, to promote economic growth and promote the policy enlightenment of population urbanization.