我国新型城镇化对共同富裕的政策效应研究

A Study on the Policy Effects of China’s New Urbanization on Common Prosperity

我国新型城镇化政策旨在通过优化城市空间布局、缩小城乡差距、促进社会公平正义、保持经济健康发展等方式推动共同富裕进程。以新型城镇化政策试点作为准自然实验,基于断点回归模型的经验分析表明:(1)新型城镇化政策的实施对共同富裕总指标、物质经济富裕和公共服务普惠具有显著的促进作用,分别提升了2.7、3.6和4.3个百分点;(2)目前新型城镇化政策还未在拉近城乡、区域差异的共享富裕方面表现出明显作用;(3)新型城镇化对共同富裕各维度的推动具有区域异质性,其中,对东、西部公共服务普惠提升效果明显,存在明显的“马太效应”和政策倾斜,而对西部地区物质经济的拉动作用都不显著。

China’s new urbanization policy aims to foster the process of common prosperity. Taking the new urbanization policy pilot as a quasi-natural experiment, the empirical analysis based on a Regression Discontinuity design shows that:(1) The implementation of the new urbanization policy has a significant contribution to the general indicators of common prosperity, Material and economic prosperity and Inclusive public services, raising them by 2.7, 3.6 and 4.3 percentage points, respectively.(2) Policies currently do not show a significant effect in promoting shared affluence, such as in bringing urban-rural and regional differences closer together.(3) The driving effect of new urbanization on all dimensions of common prosperity has regional heterogeneity. Among them, the effect of promoting public service inclusion in the east and west is obvious, with obvious“Matthew effect”and policy tilt effect, while its driving effect on the material economy in the west is not significant.