自由贸易协定网络与全球价值链分工地位

Free Trade Agreement Network and Global Value Chain’s Position

本文采用2007—2019年DESTA的双边贸易协定数据库和ADB-MRIO投入产出表数据库,构建自由贸易协定网络的中心度和结构洞指标,实证检验自由贸易协定网络对全球价值链分工地位的影响。研究发现,一国的自由贸易协定网络中心度和结构洞均显著提升了全球价值链分工地位,在经过替换估计模型和核心变量等稳健性检验后,上述结论仍成立。异质性检验表明,签署第二代贸易协定有助于从自由贸易协定网络的全球价值链分工地位提升效应中获得较多收益,发展中国家、服务业从其中获得较少收益。自由贸易协定网络通过技术扩散和制度改善促进了一国的全球价值链分工地位提升。本文研究结论为助推中国参与自由贸易协定网络、探究全球价值链分工地位的提升路径提供了政策启示。

This paper constructs the centrality and structural hole indicators of the free trade agreement network, and empirically examines the impact of the free trade agreement network on the position of global value chain(GVC) by using the bilateral trade agreement database of DESTA and the input-output table database of ADB-MRIO from 2007 to 2019. The research finds that a country′s free trade agreement network centrality and structural holes have significantly improved the GVC′s position, and the above conclusions are still valid after the robustness tests of replacing the estimation model and core variables. The heterogeneity analysis shows that signing the second-generation trade agreements helps to gain more benefits from the GVC′s position promotion effect of the free trade agreement network, while developing countries and the service industry get less benefits from it. The free trade agreement network promotes GVC′s position of a country through technology diffusion and institutional improvement. The research conclusions of this paper provide policy enlightenment for promoting China′s participation in the free trade agreement network and exploring the promotion path of the GVC′s position.